Wiggin Sessions

Surviving and Thriving The Post-Pandemic Economy 2022, Episode 76

Featuring Charles Hugh Smiith

Addison Wiggin

Hosted By:

Addison Wiggin

The Wiggin Sessions, conceived during the COVID-19 pandemic and tornado warning in Baltimore, Maryland. Addison started interviewing key thinkers on Politics, Science, Economics, Philosophy and History to find out how their ideas impact financial markets and our financial lives. Key thinkers include Jim Rickards, Bill Bonner, George Gilder, James Altucher and over 50 others.

In 2020, he launched a new project called Consilience, which is an enlightenment era term that means “the unity of knowledge”. He is the co-author of the New York Times best-selling books Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt, as well as The Demise of the Dollar and The Little Book of the Shrinking Dollar. Addison is the writer and executive producer of the documentary I.O.U.S.A., an expose of the national debt, shortlisted for an Academy Award in 2008.

Charles Hugh Smith

Featuring:

Charles Hugh Smith

Charles Hugh Smith is the author of the oftwominds.com blog, #7 in CNBC's top alternative financial sites, and eleven books on our economy and society, including "Why Things Are Falling Apart and What We Can Do About It," "The Nearly Free University and the Emerging Economy," "Get a Job, Build a Real Career and Defy a Bewildering Economy" and most recently, "A Radically Beneficial World: Automation, Technology and Creating Jobs for All." His work is published on a number of popular financial websites including The Daily Reckoning, Zero Hedge, Financial Sense, and David Stockman’s Contra Corner.

Smith has also written seven novels and has posted a number of book and film commentaries on his website www.oftwominds.com/blog.html

A Discussion With Charles Hugh Smith… My Repeat Offender

Addison:

Welcome to the Wiggin Sessions. I'm your host, Addison Wiggin. We have Charles Hugh Smith with us today, and he is a repeat offender in our space. Charles is the owner and writer of, Of Two Minds. Charles, why don't you start by explaining what you mean by, of two minds?

Charles:

Okay. Of Two Minds, originally started with a novel I wrote about AI and the human mind. But then as I started the blog,it became the mind of my readers sharing their insights and experiences with me. And then correlating that with my own thoughts and putting it together so that the sum of all the minds that gather there is greater than my mind for sure.

Addison:

What does that mean, exactly? So do you think that when you put ideas into emails, or a Zoom cast, or whatever?

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

Do you feel like you get the feedback?

Charles:

Yeah. And I curate the ideas. In other words, there's, say for instance, a long-time reader asking me, "Do you think we're going to get a real estate crash?" Well, that's a good question. And a lot of people have that question. So it's a perfect opportunity to gather information from various regions in the country and feedback and from readers on their thoughts on this. And then I can assemble, put that into the mixer and come up with what I hope is a coherent answer to that big question.

Addison:

Yeah. And I think one thing that I find interesting about you, and we do publish some of your essays, not all of them, but we publish your essays in the Daily Reckoning. You're a contributor to a lot of the stuff that we do. What I find interesting about you, you're in a unique position to speak your mind.

Charles:

True.

Addison:

And so I want to ask the question, how did that happen?

Charles:

Well, Addison,that's a great question. Nobody asks that.

Addison:

Yeah. Well I'm in the position where I'm like, all right, well, I got the kids and I got to do this thing. And I got work and all that stuff. And why can't I just say what I want to say? I feel like you got into a position where you can say what you want and then you say what you want. That's awesome. That sounds like a really good position to be in, in my view.

Charles:

Well, let's also state the obvious that it's getting scarce because in our society, if you want to get a job in a think tank or academia, or a political appointment, or in a lot of places where you might be able to put some kind of thought out in the public sphere, you owe your allegiance to somebody that's writing your paycheck. And so there's limits whether they're stated or unstated, or informal or formal as to what you can say.

And so we see this in the media. The media collects ad revenues. And so there's a little hesitancy there. And I used to be a freelance writer for newspapers and magazines. So I know. It's like, well, you don't really want to stab your advertisers in the back with a sword. Now, everybody understands that. And we tip-toe around it.

So there are constraints. And I do take ads on Of Two Minds, but they're just served by a financial ad server. I don't have any input or control over it, except I can say what I don't want. So I think it's partly, Addison, that I'm getting rewarded for speaking my mind, which is rare, too.

In other words, people donate to me. They support the site on Patreon or PayPal. And so people seem to support my work. Not necessarily every idea I have, people disagree with me, which is good. Otherwise, how do we advance? If we all agree, then we're not going to make any progress. So I think people want to reward those of us who are in a position where we can speak our minds and the rewards are really asymmetric.

Addison:

I sometimes think the same way that you do that we could just say what we want, and we can move forward and have the opinions that we have. I get abused by readers all the time who are just like, "I don't agree with you. And here's why," and they give me historical facts on why I'm wrong. But I also think that the medium that we operate in, and this is really a question for you, too, is it allows us to just be honest about what we think and then go from there. How did that disappear?

Charles:

Right. Well, let's ask this question, let's say that you and I are part of a sphere that I call public intellectuals. In other words, we're claiming not just to regurgitate what somebody else said or what we learned in school. We're claiming to have studied a problem and come up with some sort of coherent response or insight. So I think we're public intellectuals, and that sphere used to be just within academia. And I'm sure you know lots of academics.

And so, you know that field used to be where eccentrics and people who didn't fit in could find some little niche and earn a living and then get to say what they wanted. And then they'd have academic journals to put it out there.

Addison:

You think that's us now?

Charles:

No, I don't think that's the case now. There's a completely different environment and set of pressures. So where are the eccentrics and the outsiders and all those kinds of people that don't really fit in? Where are they able to make a living? And so the question is, is, well, the internet.

I mean, and if you can figure out some way to gather an audience who will support you, and this is all content creators: musicians, cartoonists, writers, everybody. So you have to find an audience who will support you. That's basically the answer.

I would love to find some, the equivalent of a medieval noble person who would just support me the way that Mozart and lots of people were supported by Nobles that had the wealth to do that. But we have to turn to just regular individuals like ourselves, hence Patreon and Substack, and these other avenues. And so maybe it's a good thing.

Addison:

Maybe it's a good thing. But also, I ask myself this question all the time. Why do you care? Because you write a lot of great stuff and I am a consumer of the words that you've put out. And we also republish in the Daily Reckoning, and I'm like, yeah, this is good stuff. But I wonder about myself, too. Why do we even care about this stuff?

Charles:

Well, that's a good question. And my answer is, everybody wants to be optimistic. That's part of the American thing. And it's partly human nature. And so a lot of people go, "Well, you guys are just doom and gloom," and it's all like, "No, actually I want to present what motivates me here is an optimistic view of the future that is completely different from the status quo." That's my goal is to put those ideas out there.

Addison:

Who cares about that?

Charles:

Yeah. Nobody cares about it now, but as if things unravel and institutions fail, then people might open their minds to like, "Well, this isn't working, we're going to need some other way to organize things. Some of the arrangements, what could that be that would be good for everybody that's participating?"

Money… Fiat, Gold, Crypto, or Whatever

Addison:

Well, all right. So let's talk about money because we mostly talk about money. Right? So what are you interested in? Let's talk about cryptos first because I know that you have opinions on cryptos as a speculation. Do you think it's wealth preservation? What should people do with their own money right now?

Charles:

Well that is a good question. And just a bit of history, readers, again, relying on readers, told me about Bitcoin in 2009. I mean, within months of its founding. Like, "Hey, do you know about Bitcoin?" So I poked around. I didn't buy any until I needed to use it to pay translators in South America. And then it turned out to be, I thought in 2016, it's like, hey, this actually works.

Addison:

It's really funny about what you just said. I just got offered a bunch of Bitcoin for a piece of land in South America. And I was like, "Wait a minute. I think the land is more valuable."

Charles:

Let's talk about that. I guess if you're going to talk about a Maslow type hierarchy of needs, having a place to live and having a community that you feel comfortable in that you can support, that you can contribute to, these are the top for me. How much financial wealth you have is not the core, not the top. It's top in our society, at least in this particular point in time. But I don't think that's really the top need or the top value. So whether you're holding Fiat, gold, crypto, whatever, I think it's all a means to an end, which is a place that you can live in, that you can have some land around you, that you have a community that you like, and that likes you.

Addison:

You've been successful at doing that in Hawaii. Right?

Charles:

Yeah. Yeah. And I think that's fair.

Addison:

Yeah. Go ahead.

Charles:

No, I think that's a fair characterization. I mean, I attempted to do it in California, too, when I lived there for decades. I think it's problematic in a lot of ways when you're in a very dense, urban core. And so then you have to start looking at these things like dependency change. How dependent are you on global supply chains?

And so I think that's going to be an issue going forward. And so you want to reduce your dependency if at all possible, which would mean living in a local that actually produces something that people need to live. Whereas if the area you live in produces nothing, well then you're dependent on stuff being trucked in or piped in from hundreds or thousands of kilometers away. So I think that's part of it, too.

Addison:

I got to stop you right there. You live in Hawaii, man. Come on.

Charles:

Right.

Addison:

You got pineapples.

Charles:

Well, again, there's a bit of history here. It's always useful to really dig into where you live, you have to look at the whole region. Chesapeake, Maryland, I mean, and then go back and say how much food was grown here before? How were the fisheries? And then you turn out and at some point in history, you go, "Wow, we were pretty self- sufficient."

The same thing in Hawaii. Even though my mother-in-law lives with us, she's 91. In her era and even when I was a kid, Hawaii grew most of its own food. Very little was imported stuff, maybe rice, that kind of stuff. So it's like we've lost all that. And so the other thing about Hawaii is energy.

Addison:

And we don't grow our own food. We have some tomatoes and some thyme, I think, but that's all we have. We don't grow our own food. I can walk to Whole Foods from here.

Charles:

Yeah. Again, we're talking about crypto and my thing with crypto is I'm a fan of crypto in these abstract ways, which is like this, the more kinds of money that are available and priced transparently.

Money that is available and priced transparently, then the better the economy is going to be because people get to choose what currency works for them.

So that means I'm sort of anti-Fiat to begin with because the whole idea with Fiat is you are required by law to use this currency. And so, if we devalue it, then you just have to eat it, sorry about that.

And so, that's a positive of cryptocurrency. I would say I'm not sure about Blockchain, frankly. Everybody's so sure that's the way to go. I'm not. I think there could be other software bases for an alternative private sector, self-organizing currency.

So what I'd like to see, as I've argued in my books, is a currency that's not issued to minors or by central banks, but a currency that's issued to people who are doing some useful work in their community, i.e. a community-based, labor-backed currency.

Addison:

All right.

Charles:

Because that's where I think we need to look at it.

Addison:

Exactly, not on a theoretical level. Let's say you used blockchain to make that happen. It sounds like an interesting idea, but in the community that I live in, it's difficult to convince people to take anything but paper dollars that we all depend on.

Charles:

Right. In a functioning state, that's using some Fiat that's working fine. There is no motivation or incentive for my idea. It's an idea that would come into play in places like Venezuela, where the Fiat currencies have been destroyed. It would have a useful role there.

Addison:

Sorry. I mean, from my experience just from reading, because I haven't been to Venezuela, but aren't they doing that already? Aren't they already converting whatever currency they have into Bitcoin or Ethereum. It sounds like they are.

Charles:

Right. That is the de facto currency, as far as I understand it, and I do have a few contacts there. But I guess what the difference in my idea is that you would be issued this currency for doing useful work, as opposed to you having to go earn some other kind of currency and then buy Ethereum or Bitcoin.

Addison:

Interesting.

Charles:

Because if you can't find any way to make money, then you can't get any Ethereum or Bitcoin or gold or silver because you don't have an income. So that's where I think we need a third kind of economy.

Addison:

What would that look like?

Charles:

Well, I think it would be something along the lines of, what I'm proposing is like a community, a global community that's almost like Linux. In other words, it's open source. It's self organizing. Like if you want to start a community group, then you've got to follow these rules. Just like you've got to follow the rules if you're going to contribute to Linux or anything else.

And if you follow the rules and you meet the guidelines, then this entity will issue currency when the work has been done, and it's been validated or verified that you actually did work that met the requirements.

For instance, you maintained a bikeway or you dug a new well or whatever was actually qualified as useful work in the community. Then you'd get paid this currency and then you could use it in the local marketplace.

And, of course, you and I both know getting some kind of currency for which there's no market, it's worthless, so you've got to have a market. And so that means that there has to be a scale that other people are producing goods and services that they're willing to take your currency.

And so, you can't just issue the currency. You have to actually create the marketplace for goods and services in that currency. And as you know, one of the big problems of the early United States in the 1810s and 1820s was there was a lack of money. There just wasn't enough currency and there wasn't enough credit.

So there were a lot of flaky banks that would pop up and issue credit and a lot of them failed, but that was to meet a real need. And I think in a lot of places in the impoverished part of the world, the problem; is that paying jobs are scarce, ways to get currency are scarce and credit is scarce. And so that's kind of my idea is, well, we could just set up a third kind of economy that's sort.

Addison:

But isn't that just going to be a problem forever?

Charles:

Well, as I say in my book,

Let’s Talk About Your New Book… Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States

Addison:

All right, let's talk about your book for a second.

Charles:

Okay.

Addison:

I think we should introduce it properly. You call it, do I have this correct? Global Crisis National Renewal.

Charles:

Yeah. Well it's backwards, but anyways, here it is.

Addison:

Oh, there you got it.

Charles:

Yeah, Global Crisis National Renewal.

Addison:

I don't understand why it is revolutionary?

Charles:

Parenthesis?

Addison:

Yeah. Why is that? Because I think it's accurate.

Charles:

Well, I didn't want to throw people off by thinking that I was calling for a Marxist-Leninist thing.

Addison:

No.

Charles:

And so, I kind of wanted to put it in parenthesis.

Addison:

It’s way on the opposite side of that.

Charles:

Yeah. And also, I mean, hey, I'm a self-published author. I have to get some attention. I mean, how is my book going to stand out amongst the 50,000 other books that got issued this year or a hundred thousand, or whatever it is? And so, it's like, "Okay, that's a little question of curiosity: why did this guy put this in parentheses?"

Addison:

All right. Explain to me the grand strategy for the United States. And I like this idea because a couple of the themes that we've been working on are that we'd be heading toward a civil war or something, or we're going to fight with China or something. I don't think any of that is going to happen.

What we need to do is figure out how to work together. And I feel like your book is at least providing ideas on the way that we can work together. And it's not just internally in the US, but we also have to figure out how to work with the Chinese, the Vietnamese, the Russians, whatever bullshit they're pulling up on Ukraine right now. I feel like you at least have a logical answer to that.

Charles:

Well, I think you've summarized the whole point of my book, which is that everybody seems to find a lot of reasons to disagree and not work with anybody. Right?

And to find the reasons why we are at loggerhead, but as you say, the real goal is to find common ground. It doesn't mean we're going to always agree on everything. We've just got to find some common ground, because that's how you advance, whether it's here in the US or internationally. So you're right.

Well, the use of the word grand strategy, I had some friends say, "Don't use that. It sounds boring." And so, but grand strategy is not just a bill of reforms. It's not like saying, "Well, we need term limits on Congress," or something like that. It's a whole framework of how you're going to organize your society and your economy, both domestically and internationally. That's what a grand strategy is.

Addison:

You just brought up term strategies and term limits, and I have been not in favor of them for... I think it's a bad idea. But how do you prevent somebody from becoming a career politician?

Charles:

Yeah, exactly.

Addison:

I’m in favor of term strategies. I never have them, but then we get stuck with people who make their careers about telling other people what to do and lecturing.

I love this about Joe Biden. This is my favorite part of Joe Biden, is he just lectures people, points the finger and, "I'm right. You have to listen to me." And I'm just like, "Oh my God, this guy is amazing." Like, "Seriously, does anyone believe that?"

Charles:

Yeah. Well, the idea that grand strategy is when it's put out in the United States and generally in academic journals or whatever, in the Pentagon, it's all about foreign policy, right? It's always about securing borders.

Addison:

Yeah, but why? Why is it about foreign policy when we have unemployment that's going through the roof and violence that's increasing? Why is that? Why is it about foreign policy?

Charles:

Exactly. You nailed it. That is my whole point in the first paragraphs of the book. I'm actually saying that if we have grand strategies about security, we have to focus on our domestic problem. Because if the domestic society unravels, you're not going to have any global power.

Addison:

Why not?

Charles:

So you got to, it's actually two things.

Addison:

Why would you be entitled to have an opinion at that point? You can't handle your own society, why would you?

Charles:

That's right. And where, if your own economy falls apart.

Addison:

Why are we pointing our fingers at other people?

Charles:

Right. And if our economy can't support our giant military, then you're not going to have it. It's kind of like the Roman era or in Zhou Dynasty in China; if your society and economy unravels, then you lose the ability to project power because you simply don't have the wherewithal anymore. So that's part one of my book.

Part two is to say, "Okay, what are the fundamental sources of our global crisis?" And I identify three. One is scarcity in essentials is going to be an issue going forward. We've used up all the cheap, easy stuff, and nobody wants to deal with that fact but it seems to be pretty common sense and obvious. So everything that we want, like copper and oil and everything, it's going to be more expensive and harder to get.

So that's going to be an issue. So, and that's a point of competition, right, like, "Well, if somebody else gets all the oil and gas, then what are we going to get?" So that's an issue that we have to work together on.

Number two, is this inequality that you mentioned. Now you mentioned it in terms of an elected official, but it's like the power asymmetry is so gigantic, and we call it wealth and income inequality, but it's actually a concentration of power. So if a handful of people control all the power, or most of it and most of the wealth, then you're not going to have a society that's very adaptive because they're going to run the system to benefit themselves.

And I think that pretty much describes the United States and other countries that are like autocracies or whatever, whatever the label is, that's the problem; is extreme inequality of power and wealth. It skews the system and makes and destabilizes it. And then, the third issue...

Addison:

But before you get to the third one, do you think the balance of power has gotten extreme recently as opposed to historically?

Charles:

Well, that's a great question. And a lot of people are referring to this as the new gilded age, in other words, as sort of a similar to the 1890s where wealth and income inequality became very extreme, because a few people were able to benefit from having access to credit and industrializing the US. So I think statistically, you can make that case. For instance, I saw something that I just keep referring to because it's so amazing, that the top 10% of households in the US receive 97% of all income from capital. And that includes, of course, interest, dividends, rent from apartment buildings or so on, private-owned businesses profits.

So that means 90% of America gets essentially nothing from capital. They don't own enough productive capital to be consequential. I think that's a big difference from, say, even 20 years ago, but certainly 40 years ago.

And we talk about the decay of the middle class. Well, to me, it's just like you talk about labor and capital. Those are some of the core issues. If capital has been concentrated in the hands of the few and most people don't own enough capital to be consequential, that's going to weaken your economy.

And then, labor's been sort of stripped. I mean, that's the fact. The percentage of the GDP that goes to labor has fallen from 55% to 45%, and the Rand Corporation did and they said, "Well, that turns out to be $50 trillion over the last 45 years." Well, $50 trillion, I mean, $10 trillion here, $10 trillion there, pretty soon you're talking about real money.

Addison:

What are you laughing about?

Charles:

Just that the sums are so vast that it's hard to imagine what that means. $50 trillion has basically been siphoned off from labor and you go, "Well, why?" And you go, "Well, there's demographics and there's all kinds of other reasons." But part of it is that capital got more power than labor. And so, it could do more to increase its own gains by influencing the state, which as you say about elected officials, not only are they all multimillionaires, but they work hand in glove with people who give them contributions and lobbying. So it's like this nexus of power, so the average American household really doesn't have much power.

Addison:

What do you say to the argument that if labor is diminishing like a force in I would say most states, because most unions are state based. I mean, there's a couple that are national, but if they're diminishing as a force, what do you say about the argument that capitalism, capital, has within its own makeup the destruction of its value to you and I?

Charles:

Right. Are you thinking of Thomas Piketty and that kind of argument?

Addison:

We are in control of the structure of our own demise. I'm asking this in a negative way, I think we could destroy ourselves, and we don't really want to do that. I think that capital is best served by the people who employ it. Elon Musk made that exact statement three weeks ago, or four weeks ago. He said, " Yeah. We should just leave the capital in the hands of the people that know how to use it." I think that's correct. But I also think that it builds resentment, and it makes people unnervy. Like, I'm trying to put my kids through college, why should I listen to Elon Musk?

Charles:

Right. Well, the idea of capital and capitalism is interesting because, just like socialism, those are words that generate all these different emotions. so, I'm wary of using those because they mean so many different things. Like for instance, where I live, there's a municipal owned water system, that's pretty common. Is that socialism, because the local municipality actually owns something essential? But they also live in a market economy.

Addison:

Yeah. I would say no.

Charles:

Yeah. So, there's a lot of room in that thing. But let me try to contextualize my thinking about this question. I put in a book, like the history of the golden age of Rome, and I refer to these other societies in the past, partly because I know something about them, but also because I want to communicate that we're talking about human nature here. We're not talking about just one society and this era, we're talking about the way that humans have organized societies for thousands of years. Like trade and capitalism were the Bronze Age, 3000 BC. So, I think the golden age of any economy is when people can turn labor into capital, and go, what does that mean?

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

It's all like... Yeah. So, what it means is the middle class, in other words what's the difference between the middle class and the working class? The working class doesn't earn enough, or doesn't have the value system and the trajectory to save enough money and then invest it wisely, and then start earning something back on that invested capital. The middle class does that, and that's how the middle class works. It takes its labor, it saves some of that and it invests it, and then it has both capital and labor. So, this is exactly what happened in Rome, is that people could pool a little bit of money and then they could get a ship built, and then they could send it to India and they could trade, and then they bring it back and it created this whole infrastructure, that we take for granted.

Suddenly there's credit, there's insurance, there's taxes being collected on all this nice trade, there's profits being distributed to the sailors, the captain, the wholesalers, the guy that ran the warehouse, and on and on and on. But the core of that was not just the investment of capital, it was the labor, the expertise. In other words, the traders had to have trusted people in Egypt, and in the Red Sea, and India. Then there were warehouses and people to market all this stuff when it came back, and you needed to ship something to India, the value. So, then you needed to get people making wine to take to India to sell, and so it's like what I call... It's a positive synergy. Then what we have now is what I call a fatal synergy, in other it's the opposite. It's working as you say, to destroy itself.

Addison:

So, I know that you've written a book on it and you're trying to understand what the force is, or just even the ideology that's at play. I know that you're trying to figure that out, and you've written the book on it, so you've done a lot of thinking on that exact idea. We also have this cyclical nature of the economy and the man, and how we become strong and then we become weak, and all that stuff. We already know that story. What have you discovered in the meantime about why it breaks down? I mean, that's a legitimate question. We have been prosperous for 250 years, why not continue to be prosperous?

Charles:

Well, that's a great question, Addison. I'll describe what I consider the useful context. It's not the only useful context, but I think it's useful is, okay. What happens when a relative handful of people have a concentration of wealth and power? In the United States, those two are equal, because if I give $10,000,000 to politicians, I'm going to get their favors. I'm going to get something back.

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

They're not collecting the $10,000,000 from average people, it's older wealthy people like me. So, then you get this circle of the state and capital working together. So, it's not just capitalism, it's state capitalism, because the government is powerful, so you get that concentration. Well, what are they going to do with their wealth? Well, they're going to protect their wealth, that's what we would do. Then we're going to try to expand it, and use the power of the state. So, I look at this as a system.

Addison:

So, there's a phrase that people have been throwing around, probably since the seventies, but I think it's getting thrown around again called shareholder capitalism. Isn't that just a euphemism for using the state to propagate, literally just what you were saying, propagate your own wealth?

Charles:

Well, to the degree that most of the shareholder wealth is concentrated in the hands of the few, yeah. So, here's one idea I want to share with you and get your feedback on. I look at the state and the market as problem solving systems, that's where they arose. They arose to solve problems, to increase human security and stability. So, they're adaptive, and if you want to say, what's the brilliance of the market? It's that it's endlessly evolving and adaptive. Then what happens when the state gets involved is, it actually resists adaptation and evolution, because that's going to hurt the status quo. Let me give you an example.

For instance, if somebody got an accredited university that was totally online and it cost $2,000 a year, then you could get a four year degree for $8,000. They only chose the finest professors, and they had workshops online and all this good stuff. Well, what would that do to the existing structure? This was scale and varying. Well, you're going to end up having this huge infrastructure of higher education destroyed, because people just are going to go, "Hey, you know what? I'm not going to borrow $108,000. I can scrape up the $8,000 cash." Well, so then people are going to resist this advance, this evolution of education, because it's going to hurt a bunch of powerful entities in the status quo. I think that's the core issue of why we're failing, Addison, is that we've stopped evolving and adapting because any kind of evolution or adaptation hurts somebody powerful. So, they're going to resist that, and so they're actually, without understanding it themselves, they're bringing the whole system to its knees, because we're not able to change.

Addison:

What would that mean though, if you and I were going to solve the problems of the world, which we try to do whenever we can, what would that mean? I mean, personally, I don't think the government is ever going to help me, and it's never going to help other people. It's only going to get in the way. So, what does it mean? If we are looking at the academic or the theoretical solution, what is the thing that we should be doing in order to make a better society? I would tackle that question, is it a national question or is it an international question, is it a global question? You and I have traveled a lot, both of us, and we've lived in different locations. Can it be solved on a local level or a state level or a national level? This is an honest question for me, because I am like... We're fucked in a way, and I don't really know how politics or corporations are going to solve it, other than coming up with products that people buy that solve their individual issues.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

That's probably the biggest question you've ever gotten.

Charles:

Yeah. Well, it's a great question, and I love the big ones because that's where we're at at this point in history. I think the answer is that we can't control what happens in France or Thailand or Japan, but we can influence what happens in the US. So, in systems theory, there's this idea that is called... It's like an island of coherence. Even a small island of coherence.

Addison:

Just explain that phrase because that sounds really good.

Charles:

Okay. So, in a chaotic system, or quasi chaotic, then if there's a little island of coherence, meaning there's a system that's coherent to itself, and able to sustain itself in this sea of disorder, it's going to have outsized influence on the sea of disorder. So, if the United States becomes an island of coherence, it's going to start influencing every other country, because we're doing better. So, my idea is, look. We've got to stop this idea that waste is growth. It's not just growth, it's waste is growth. Like we have planned obsolescence, we're supposed to throw everything out. Things are made poorly so we have to throw them out. This is like infinite growth on a finite planet. I think we're going to have to be a lot smarter about growth.

Other smart people have said, humans tend to just waste everything when it's free and easy, the low hanging fruit. So, what we could do is start focusing and making incentives for efficiency. In other words, if you could make way more profit making a product that lasted 40 years, like we used to do, and you would not be allowed to make a profit off of selling something that was going to fall apart in two years, then that would be an incentive that would create a focus on efficiency. We want to use less, we want to consume less resources, but get more for that investment. That's where we need to change our incentive structure, and that would require a national change of value.

Addison:

So, let's talk about that for just a second. How do you change the incentives? I also ask this from a personal level. I want to change incentives in my own business, and it's hard to do. People don't agree with the way that they would be incentivized, that's a really polite way of saying it.

Charles:

Yeah. Well, here's another question for you. My thinking is, society and the state have to co-evolve, and my examples are the Civil Rights Movement and the environmental movement. There were rivers catching fire in the sixties, and everybody tolerated that. Then something changed and it wasn't in the government, it was in society. People said, "You know what? I don't think our river should be catching on fire because of the industrial waste in there." So, then the government evolved slowly, and then we got an EPA, and then the United States spent a decade, the whole seventies, cleaning up its act at tremendous expense, I might say. That was part of why the economy was stagnant, as the industry had to spend hundreds of billions of dollars cleaning up this stuff.

Addison:

What I like about what you're saying is that society drives the government, as opposed to government driving society, because one of my pet peeves right now is that the government decides what we should be doing, and then they tell us what to do. I don't think that's the way it works at all, because we don't really care. When I went to high school, actually I quit school, so here we go on that story. But I didn't like people telling me what to do, and I feel like that's what the government is doing right now. They're just telling us what to do.

This is the exact reason I don't like career politicians, they don't have any real world experience or benefit. They don't know what they're talking about when they talk about policy, they just tell us what they think is right. Then we go, "What are you talking about?" You know what? I want to get back to your book though. I want you to talk about your book a little bit, because I think this is cool. So, let me get here. Right there. National Renewal, do you think that's a possible thing?

Charles:

Yeah. I want to pick up right where you left off, Is that my conception of a better arrangement than the one we have now. And you go, "Well, is it possible?" And I say, "Yes. It's possible that if society changes and demands it, it can happen..."

Addison:

That means like you and me talking to each other, and being like, "Okay. We're going to make this better."

Charles:

And somebody else listening to us and going, "You know, those guys, that actually makes sense. Yeah. I think that's a good idea." And a lot of what we're talking about is common sense. So my idea is the federal government does have a role. It should set the goals for the economy and society.

Addison:

I'm going to push back on that, because I think that the way the federal government is set up right now is to perpetuate the career politicians who are in that place. And you know what? I would even include Ron Paul, whom I've known for 20 something years, 28 years, something like that. There's people that sit in offices for a long time, and don't have to be accountable to the economy, to the people, or to the laws that they pass. It's awful.

Charles:

Right. And I think it's, again, that we've allowed money and governance to be connected at the hip. Right? In other words, the rich people can influence the politicians. Politicians get the money, they get reelected. So I think nothing is going to change until society changes to the point, this is my view, if somebody admits, or if somebody gets big bucks from any entity, a corporation, think tank individual, that person loses the election. In other words, as soon as somebody collects $10 million, they lose. The people just had it. They're fed up. They don't care how much you collect, how much you spend on ads. They discover that if you've collected 10 million bucks from rich people, you are voted out. And only then will we get some change. Until then, no. But let's talk about a theory. One is I just want the federal government to do one thing, which is to set an incentive or a goal. And then, all... How that works...

Addison:

The federal government to do anything?

Charles:

I know. We're talking abstractly, right?

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

At this point, it seems hopeless. My idea is that the implementation is decentralized. In other words, you know that there's this theory that's going around it, that the real action is all in the mayors, in the cities, because the cities are where the rubber hits the road. If you want to solve problems, it's all in the local government. And I tend to think that's true. In other words, if you're going to solve global problems like supply chains, or inefficiencies, or waste, you're going to have to deal with it locally, because every community is different. Right? And so, I think the answer is radical decentralization, not just power.

Addison:

I am so in favor of what you just said. And I was speaking to Mark Moss. I don't know if you know who he is, but we just did a little event with him. And he was saying that we're at the point where decentralization is going to be the trend. Like right now, we're at peak centralization.

Charles:

Yes.

Addison:

And I've been making this argument too. I've been saying to my wife, my friends, my colleagues, I'm like, "It can't last. Nobody is going to put up with this bullshit for that long."

Charles:

Yeah. And then, a lot of what I write in the book is about the way that institutions fail, because they're bloated, they're overly complicated, they've lost sight of the mission.

Addison:

They can't succeed. Right? Isn't that what you're saying?

Charles:

Yeah. That's what centralization does, is it basically cripples the institution from actually solving problems.

Addison:

I feel like I get chastised all the time for saying that. Like, it can't last.

Charles:

No. It can't.

Addison:

Then it feels like if you're right, if we're right, if you and I are right, then they're like, "Well, yeah. You would just say, and I told you so." And then I go, "What the fuck?"

Charles:

Yeah, no. That's not the point. The point is like, how do we make this the point.

Addison:

That's the point.

Charles:

Yeah. How do we make it like where it's actually sustainable, or resilient, or like to use Taleb's Anti Fragility, it's not just survival, it's actually you're getting better. Right? And I...

Addison Wiggin

Yeah. Or just even go to a high... I can say, you know, this is the way we ought to live together.

Charles:

Yeah. That's right. So if you can decentralize capital as well, and you go, "Well, that's a hat-trick." Right?

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

Like, how do we do that? But obviously, you take communities that are trying to improve things, like in small ways, right? Like just better roadways, better schools, some community gardens, efficiencies in government. How do you do that if you don't have any money? Yeah. Well, that's a problem. Right? So you've got decentralized capital. So investment is incentivized to invest in something local and specific. Right?

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

And there's a lot of that thinking already out there. Right? But we need, I think, the incentives for financialization and globalization. And so, I think the national government has a role to impose incentives. Right? As only...

Addison:

Yeah. I'm going to push back again on you.

Charles:

Okay.

Addison:

Because you live in Hawaii.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

And I live in Baltimore, which is like 30 miles away from DC.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

So screw the national government, that whole idea. It's not a good idea. But I can see your point. I can see your point. You're saying that they do play a role, because they can help people understand each other. I wish they just understood that though.

Charles:

No, they don't. And the state has to be completely reformed. I mean, the state as a ... you know, we call the state the national government. Yeah. It's hopeless in its current configuration, but I think that... you know, we're talking about a lot of people saying, "Well, the US has to break up into seven regions, or something like that." And that's the solution. Now, that may be the case. That may be the case. If the national government fails as a problem solving structure, then devolving to local governments that can solve problems better, that's going to be a natural evolution. So it's like the government is going to fail to accept it's problems... But I think I want to go back to that thing that society has to demand change. And when the people say they...

Addison:

You want to say something more positive.

Charles:

Well, I also think that's how the Civil Rights movement, and the environmental movement.

Addison:

I know. This whole thing about Black Lives Matter, and the Civil Rights, the anniversaries that we're going through has been educational for me, because I'm like, "Yeah, you know what? I'm a white guy. And I grew up in New Hampshire, and there weren't a lot of people who were even aware of that kind of thing going on." But it's really important to the foundation of the country that we observe the founding words of the country, that we are all equal before the law. That's a good thing. And we should all fight for that. And I've been saying that in probably an obnoxious level. I don't know how to say it any other way, because I just keep saying it. But the Civil Rights movement is a good thing, and it's a true thing, and we should all observe it. And I get frustrated when I think that it's probably mainstream media, mostly, that people don't just accept it and move on.

Charles:

Yeah. And I think just to kind of tie it into…

Addison:

Ignorant way of saying all that I believe, but...

Charles:

No. No. But I think just to tie it back into this discussion, what we need is incentives or ways to funnel capital into local communities, that then solve their own problems in what they understand as the most efficient and best way to do that. And I think that's where we've fallen. That's the fatal synergy. It's like, to go back to your point, when a few powerful people in the federal government try to tell us, 330 million people, this is the solution to your problems. There's no way that's going to work, because it's like, "Wait a minute. We have like 10,000 cities, And a 100,000 communities, and the solutions are not going to be applicable like that."

Addison:

Yeah. I mean, and one step further, we have like my neighbors.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

There's people that live near me that could benefit from that kind of thinking.

Charles:

So I think you and I are just trying to sketch out an alternative view of how we could proceed as a nation.

Addison:

Yeah.

Charles:

Now, it doesn't mean we're going to, but I want people to have a vision.

Addison:

Yeah. I think it's important though. I do think it's important, because I think there's a lot of people, even in our own sphere of readers, and viewers, and that kind of thing, that would be like, " Well, that didn't work. I'm going to move to, whatever, Nicaragua."

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

Well, you, yourself, moved to Hawaii. I don't know. There's probably issues there too, but I'm in Baltimore and I'm like, "Okay. This is where I am. It's my plan."

Charles:

That's right. Well, every community has its own unique history mix of people, capital, specialties. So that's the thing I look forward to and excited about. It's, "Hey, look at Pittsburgh as different from Detroit, which is different from Baltimore, which is different from where I live." But there are people with solutions in each local place. Right? And we can share ideas with other cities. But exactly how it manifests, it should be up to us. And so, I think we need to, and this is an old idea, but we have to push power back down to the local communities. And that has to include capital. It can't just be the local government. It's got to be...

Addison:

Yeah. It's tough to get that part involved.

Charles:

Yeah. Well, it's... if you can...

Addison:

But you know, I grew up in New Hampshire, and our state logo is still live free or die.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

And there have been people, I think they'd moved from Massachusetts up to New Hampshire because they get better tax rates.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

And they want to change the logo, because they think it's too barbaric. And I live in Baltimore, so I'm not even defending it. I'm just saying, "Fuck you. That's a good logo. Live free or die. What else would you want to say?"

Charles:

Yeah. Well, and I think there's a movement out there that we need to decomplexify. That's like reducing the complexity. And that's going to be tough for the status quo, because a lot of people make their living adding useless complexity. That's the truth. And so, it's going to be a painful transition for people that are being paid to just kind of increase complexity without actually meeting the mission. And my favorite example is the building departments. It takes six months to get a permit, and it used to take a day or two. Well, did we really benefit a hundred fold by that increase of complexity? And the answer is no. And I think that's a good example. So...

Addison:

No. The answer is probably not.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

We got to think about it.

Charles:

Yeah.

Addison:

All right, Charles. It's always fun to talk to you.

Charles:

Well, likewise.

Addison:

We just put, you know, we don't have to put this on the recording, but we just put a scissor reel together, and you are part of it. And I'm going to send it to you after this.

Charles:

Yeah. Judson mentioned that.

Addison:

Okay.

Charles:

And I appreciate that. That'll be great.

Addison:

No. That's fun. We're on the same page on a lot of things.

Charles:

Yeah. Well, next time, you'll have to explain, if you don't mind, on air, how you quit high school. Because I think that sounds... Really, I'm very curious about that.

Addison:

I have a long story.

Charles:

But the key to... Yeah.

Addison:

It's not one that my wife likes me to tell.

Charles:

Oh. Well, they don't.

Addison:

Because somehow in my life, I became a respectable human being. So when I tell that story, she doesn't want it to be recorded.

Charles:

Oh, well, okay. Then we don't have to, for sure.

Addison:

I will tell you though. It's funny. Over time.

Charles:

Okay. Good.

Addison:

Sounds good. All right. Thank you Charles.

Charles:

Okay. Well, great. And so, I know this is behind your paywall, if any of it leaks out to the public, let me know so I can promote it.

Addison:

Yeah. We'll do that. I think we're getting in front of the paywall next week. Today's Friday. Next Thursday, so a week from now.

Charles:

Well, and I want to thank you very much for wanting to talk about my book. You know, I'm self-published. I mean, I sell a few hundred copies, that's it. You know?

Addison:

Yeah. We're going to write about it. We're going to read it. We're going to write about it. That's going to help you sell like maybe 10 more copies.

Charles:

I like that way of thinking. All right. Well thanks so much for the invitation. I really appreciate it, and enjoyed it.

Addison:

All right. Talk to you soon.

Charles:

Okay. Bye bye.

Be sure to bookmark Chales Hugh Smith’s blog www.oftwominds.com. His blog is among the top-ranked alternative financial sites covering our economy and society by CNBC. It’s one of my daily go-to reads.

I also recommend picking up a copy of Charles' new book Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States. Charles goes above the gloom and doom and proscribes actual solutions.

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